Library · 8 strategies
Simple betting rules, tested on years of real matches.
A shortlist, not a prediction: only the rules that stayed profitable on a season kept aside are listed, and the many ideas that did not are not shown.
- 1We start from an ideaE.g. the draw when the home team is rested
- 2We replay it on the past550 matches since 2022, at real odds
- 3We check whether it wins+27% ROI, 4 winning seasons out of 4
- 4We find you the matchesEvery day, the upcoming matches that fit the idea
- Draw between a rested host and a visitor that rarely winsEurope’s top 5Draw20%− wins for the away team6+ days of rest for the home team+27%ROI · 550 betsWorst drop25 units2026/27 season+77%in progress · 19 bets
- Champions League hosts that score freely against a strong visitorChampions LeagueHome win2+ goals per match for the home team40%+ wins for the away team+25%ROI · 300 betsWorst drop8 units2026/27 season+12%in progress · 38 bets
- Bundesliga visitors leading at half-timeBundesligaHalf-time: awayOutside the top 6 for the home team1.5+ goals per match for the away team+22%ROI · 316 betsWorst drop12 units2026/27 season−43%in progress · 16 bets
- Both teams to score in Serie B when both sides are restedSerie BBTTS8+ days of rest for the home team6+ days of rest for the away team+19%ROI · 246 betsWorst drop5 units2026/27 season+15%in progress · 19 bets
- Away sides ten places higher that rarely lose on the road7 leagues outside the top 5Away win10+ places higher in the table for the away team2− losses in its last 10 away matches for the away team+18%ROI · 225 betsWorst drop5 units2026/27 season+13%in progress · 16 bets
- Under 2.5 goals when a winning Serie A side hosts a team outside the top sixSerie AUnder 2.5 goals50%+ wins for the home teamOutside the top 6 for the away team+15%ROI · 301 betsWorst drop8 units2026/27 season+17%in progress · 12 bets
- Brazilian Série A hosts six places above their visitorBrasileirãoHome win6+ places higher in the table for the home team5+ wins in its last 10 home matches for the home team+11%ROI · 273 betsWorst drop9 units2026 season+4%in progress · 42 bets
- Over 1.5 goals when a Serie B top-six side is in form at homeSerie BOver 1.5 goalsTop 6 for the home team6+ pts from its last 5 matches for the home team+7%ROI · 274 betsWorst drop7 units2026/27 season+1%in progress · 10 bets
ROI +27%: each 1-unit bet returned 0.27 units of profit on average. Flat stakes, real closing odds.